Data Insights

Value hunting: 11 stocks making 52-week lows (and two that pass a top investor's filters)

Thu 23 Feb 23, 1:38pm (AEST)
A seafaring-type chest to store valuable items stashed away but partially uncovered in the sands following burial
Source: iStock

Key Points

  • Stocks that hit 52-week lows earlier this month continued to drift lower
  • In parallel, the ASX 200 is down around 3.5% from recent highs
  • 11 larger cap stocks hit 52-week lows in recent days, do any of them pass the Wiley's filters

Welcome back to another 52-week low series where we trawl through some of the market’s most discarded and disliked companies.

Market Index’s 52-week lows scan shows users which companies are making 52-week lows on the given day.

In my first article, we reviewed The 52-Week Low Formula by Luke Wiley, Senior Vice President of UBS. His five key criteria (and in that order) include:

  1. Durable competitive advantage

  2. Required minimum free cash flow yield (above 10-year Treasury yield)

  3. Return on invested capital greater than cost of capital

  4. Free cash flow to long-term debt ratio of less than three

  5. Trading below historic and recent high prices, more sellers than buyers

Stocks that made 52-week lows

Note: This is the list of stocks that featured in the 52-week low article on February 6. Thinly traded stocks were excluded, performance since 52-week low uses February 6 as a reference point.

Ticker

Company

% Chg from 52-week low

ASB

Austal

8.4%

MYX

Mayne Pharma

1.7%

CAT

Catapult Group

0.7%

SSM

Service Stream

-1.3%

SHV

Select Harvest

-1.7%

ELD

Elders

-6.9%

OFX

OFX Group

-7.1%

BYE

Byron Energy

-9.0%

AKP

Audio Pixels

-12.2%

PPK

PPK Group

-14.3%

RBL

Redbubble

-18.1%

BET

Betmakers Technology

-19.6%

JRV

Jervois Global

-29.6%

Key takeaways

Dip buying would've hurt: The average stock is down -8.4% from our reference date of February 6th. We're also in the midst of earnings season, which might be a catalyst behind the underperformance of these stocks.

Wiley's filters: There were two stocks that passed two of Wiley's filters (cashflow yields and long-term debt to cashflow): Elders and OFX Group. But they didn't perform that well either, down 6.9% and 7.1% respectively. Taking a closer look:

  • Elders: The stock copped a -23% selloff after its FY22 results on 14 November flagged a cautious outlook amid adverse weather events and softening soft commodity prices. Longstanding CEO Mark Allison also announced his retirement. Still, there's a perception that agriculture remains a stable sector. Interestingly, the stock abruptly fell -5.9% on more than 500% 20-day average volumes on February 8th. This was in parallel with two investor briefings with a number of institutional investors.

  • OFX: The online foreign exchange and payments company experienced a similar -17.8% fall between 24 to 30 January after a December quarter update flagged softening transactions among higher value customers. There's been no market sensitive announcements since then, and the stock has quietly drifted lower.

Broader market weakness: Coincidentally, the reference date was when the ASX 200 peaked and down -3.6% since. Perhaps the health of the broader market takes precedence over the filters, as even the best bargain bin names might struggle amid the pullback.

New stocks making 52-week lows

Ticker

Company

1 Yr Return

Profitable?

STO

Santos

unch

Yes

REG

Regis Healthcare

-13%

Yes

OCL

Objective Corp

-20%

Yes

CAJ

Capitol Health

-24%

Yes

MHJ

Michael Hill International

-30%

Yes

DDR

Dicker Data

-41%

Yes

TRJ

Trajan Group

-50%

Yes

BBN

Baby Bunting

-54%

Yes

WAF

West African Resources

-15.%

Yes

COE

Cooper Energy

-38%

No

HAS

Hastings Technology

-47%

No

Wiley's filters

Among the profitable companies, only two made it through two of Wiley's filters: Required minimum free cash flow yield (greater than 10-year Treasury yield) and free cash flow to long-term debt ratio (less than 3).

That being: Santos and Regis Healthcare.

Note: The data is based on the latest full-year result

Ticker

Cashflow yield

Long-term debt/cashflow

REG

26.21%

0.88

STO

22.78%

0.84

BBN

13.06%

3.66

MHJ

7.69%

3.22

WAF

4.11%

0.52

OCL

2.80%

5.41

CAJ

1.10%

22.87

DDR

0.79%

5.49

 

Written By

Kerry Sun

Content Strategist

Kerry holds a Bachelor of Commerce from Monash University. He is an avid swing trader, focused on technical set ups and breakouts. Outside of writing and trading, Kerry is a big UFC fan, loves poker and training Muay Thai. Connect via LinkedIn or email.

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