Markets

February's biggest ASX losers: Reporting season disasters and a pullback for commodity prices

Wed 01 Mar 23, 12:21pm (AEST)
Bear Market - Brown bear, ursus arctos, looking from behind the tree in spring nature. Large predator hinding in green forest. Big mammal standing in woodland
Source: iStock

Key Points

  • Morgan Stanley says stocks were punished much harshly this reporting season
  • Gold and lithium stocks headlined declines amid a pullback in commodity prices and elevated capex costs
  • A closer look at reporting season disasters like Temple & Webster, Domino's Pizza and Dicker Data

February was a rollercoaster ride for the ASX 200 but only the falling part. From Friday 3 February onwards, the market gave back -4.1% or a little over half of January's outsized 6.2% rally.

Reporting season added further insult to injury, with Morgan Stanley observing that average one day reactions for misses were punished much harshly than in previous seasons. On the other hand, beats were rewarded in-line with prior periods (based on average half-year and full-year reporting season reactions from August 2016 to date).

  • The average earnings miss fell -3.9% compared to an average fall of -2.1%

  • The average earnings beat rose 2.2% compared to an average gain of 2.5%

The 10 worst performing stocks in February

Note: For companies with a market cap greater than $300 million

Ticker

Company

1-month % chg

Sector

TPW

Temple & Webster

-39.6

Discretionary

RED

Red 5 Limited

-38.1

Gold

DMP

Domino's Pizza

-34.0

Discretionary

GL1

Global Lithium

-32.5

Lithium

SBM

St Barbara

-28.3

Gold

JRV

Jervois Global

-26.5

Cobalt

OBL

Omni Bridgeway

-25.0

Financial Services

CUV

Clinuvel Pharmaceuticals

-24.2

Healthcare

LKE

Lake Resources

-23.3

Lithium

DDR

Dicker Data

-23.1

Technology

Plus 20 honourable mentions

Ticker

Company

1-month % chg

Sector

ZIP

Zip Co

-22.9

Technology

SLR

Silver Lake

-22.7

Gold

AMP

AMP

-22.5

Financial Services

WGX

Westgold Resources

-21.8

Gold

AEF

Australian Ethical

-21.6

Financial Services

LFS

Latitude Group

-21.4

Financial Services

CXO

Core Lithium

-19.8

Lithium

DVP

Develop Global

-19.5

Materials

GWA

GWA Group

-19.1

Industrials

RMC

Resimac Group

-18.8

Financial Services

RRL

Regis Resources

-18.7

Gold

ADH

Adairs

-18.4

Discretionary

29M

29Metals

-18.4

Copper

PDN

Paladin Energy

-18.2

Uranium

DYL

Deep Yellow

-18.1

Uranium

PWH

PWR Holdings

-17.8

Industrials

NCK

Nick Scali

-17.7

Discretionary

IVC

Invocare

-17.5

Healthcare

SGR

The Star Entertainment

-17.5

Discretionary

NST

Northern Star

-17.4

Gold

Gold pains: Falling spot prices and poor cash flow

Gold made up a fifth of the 30 worst performing names. This reflected a sharp decline in spot prices, falling 6.8% from a peak of US$1,960 an ounce on February 2nd to US$1,825 by month end.

From a financial perspective, many gold miners struggled to deliver positive cash flow in the first-half of FY23. A household name like Northern Star (ASX: NST) posted cash outflows of $78.4 million for the half due to a 16% increase in total capital expenditure. Consequently, the company's cash position fell -28.3% to $409.5 million.

2023-03-01 10 53 06-GOLD 2023-03-01 10-52-44.png ‎- Photos
Gold spot price (Source: TradingView)

Lithium selloff: Another sector falls to spot prices

Chinese lithium carbonate prices have tumbled -36.5% from November 2022 peaks of around 600,000 yuan a tonne to 382,500 yuan. Softening new energy vehicle sales didn't help either, with Chinese data for January down 6.3% year-on-year and and down 48.3% from the previous month.

Reporting season disasters

There were plenty of companies that nosedived on half-year results. Some of the more interesting names (and one day performances on results day) include:

  • Temple & Webster (-26.9%): Half-year FY23 revenue fell -12% to $207m and profits down -46.7% to $3.9m. The company noted sales from the first five weeks of 2H23 was down 7%. TPW shares have struggled to bounce after the selloff, down -4.1% since its half-year result on 14 February.

  • Domino's Pizza (-23.8%): Domino's tried to offer customers 'more for more' rather than passing price through. But it eventually caved in and this was not well-received by customers. Revenue in the first half fell -4.3% to $1.15bn but profits fell -28.3% to $64m. Across 16 major brokers, the average target price was cut 15% to $61.30. Like TPW, Domino's shares continued to drift lower, down another -8.1% by the end of February.

  • Dicker Data (-10.7%): Top-line growth in the first half was up 25% to $3.1bn but this failed to trickle down to the bottom line, with net profits down 0.7% to $73m. This was below analyst expectations of $76.7m. Like the two stocks above, Dicker Data shares continued to sell off post earnings, down another -12% by the end of the month.

 

Written By

Kerry Sun

Content Strategist

Kerry holds a Bachelor of Commerce from Monash University. He is an avid swing trader, focused on technical set ups and breakouts. Outside of writing and trading, Kerry is a big UFC fan, loves poker and training Muay Thai. Connect via LinkedIn or email.

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