Coal

Russia/Ukraine war provided tailwind for Coronado: Quarterly revenue up 22%

Wed 27 Apr 22, 4:21pm (AEST)
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Key Points

  • Revenue was up 22% for the quarter
  • The company benefitted from higher Met coal prices in the March quarter
  • Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating on Coronado on compelling valuation and an ongoing tight Met coal market

Coronado Global Resources (ASX: CRN) was up 2.57% at the close following revelations the Australian metallurgical (Met) coal producer had achieved its highest quarterly revenue to date.

Management also guided to another strong quarter ahead with geopolitically tensions providing further tailwinds courtesy of higher prices.

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The company benefitted from higher MET coal prices in the March quarter, with revenue for the coal producer up 22% (at US$947m) for the period due to a 24.4% rise in average pricing to $US267 a tonne, despite a lift in average production costs.

In light of the company’s strong financial position, Coronado recently announced a surprise US9c dividend and will look to buy back US$100m of debt.

Highlights for the period ending 31 March 2022 include:

  • Group run-of-mine production of 6.7m tonnes, increasing 5% from the prior quarter

  • Saleable production of 4.2m tonnes, up 3.5% from the prior quarter

  • Record quarterly realised metallurgical coal price of US$267 per tonne

  • Mining cost per tonne for the March quarter of US$76.3 per tonne

  • Closing net cash position at the end of the quarter of US$257m

  • Fixed annual dividend policy of US$0.010 cents per CDI announced

Record levels

Met coal prices and revenues for shipments from US and Australian operations reached record levels during the quarter, and management expects these to remain elevated due to strong global demand and disrupted Russian coal supply.

“Due to our coal contracts in general being on a three-month lag basis, we expect June quarter realised pricing to improve further," the company noted.

Reflecting on the past quarter, CEO Gerry Spindler commented:

Coronado was one of the first pure-play coal operators in the world to return to a net cash position following the impacts of COVID-19 and lower price cycle.”

“Our balance sheet is strong, and we are delivering on our capital management plans as promised.”

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Coronado Global Resources: A 12-month share price snapshot.

What brokers think

Over the past 12 months, Coronado’s share price is up 270%, while the ASX200 is up a paltry 3.29%.

Consensus on Coronado is Strong Buy.

Based on the brokers covering Coronado (as reported on by FN Arena) the stock is currently trading with 12.5% upside to the target price of $2.48.

Goldman Sachs maintains a Buy rating on Coronado on compelling valuation and an ongoing tight Met coal market and has a target price of $3.00.

Macquarie expects realised pricing, earnings and cash flow – that has increased materially into 2022 - to continue throughout 2022, with the broker expecting Met coal prices to remain well above current forecasts.

The broker maintains an Outperform rating, with the price target rising to $2.20 from $2.00.

Morgans believes the company is well positioned to fund organic growth, and has potential for M&A. The broker maintains an Add recommendation and target price of $1.96.

Based on Morningstar's fair value of $2.55, the stock appears to be undervalued.

Written By

Mark Story

Editor

Mark is an investigative financial journalist and editor who started his career working for Marathon Oil in London. He has a degree in politics/economics and a diploma in journalism. Mark has worked on 70-plus newspapers and financial publications across Australia, NZ, the US, and Asia including: The Australian Financial Review, Money Magazine, Australian Property Investor and Finance Asia. Mark is passionate about improving the financial literacy of all Australians through the highest quality content. Email Mark at [email protected].

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