Market Wraps

Morning Wrap: ASX 200 to rise, S&P 500 lower as tech stocks ease, Copper soars to 11-month high

Thu 14 Mar 24, 8:34am (AEST)

ASX 200 futures are trading 22 points higher, up 0.28% as of 8:30 am AEDT.

The S&P 500 slipped overnight from a record reached in the previous session, gold prices kick on after a pullback, copper prices break out above the key US$4.0 level, Macquarie downgraded three of the four big banks to Underperform, the Australian government is set to underwrite $1.1 billion in loans to support the rare earths and lithium industry and oil prices push towards four-month highs.

Let's dive in.

Overnight Summary

Thu 14 Mar 24, 8:22am (AEST)

Name Value % Chg
Major Indices
S&P 500 5,165 -0.19%
Dow Jones 39,043 +0.10%
NASDAQ Comp 16,178 -0.54%
Russell 2000 2,072 +0.30%
Country Indices
Canada 21,970 +0.64%
China 3,044 -0.40%
Germany 17,961 -0.02%
Hong Kong 17,082 -0.07%
India 72,762 -1.23%
Japan 38,696 -0.26%
United Kingdom 7,772 +0.31%
Name Value % Chg
Commodities (USD)
Gold 2,179.8999 +0.73%
Iron Ore 111.77 -1.22%
Copper 4.055 +3.00%
WTI Oil 79.63 +1.99%
Currency
AUD/USD 0.6621 +0.21%
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin (AUD) 110,693 +3.29%
Ethereum (AUD) 6,040 +1.32%
Miscellaneous
US 10 Yr T-bond 4.192 +0.89%
VIX 13.75 -0.65%

US Sectors

Thu 14 Mar 24, 8:22am (AEST)

SECTOR % CHG
Energy +1.52%
Materials +0.91%
Utilities +0.66%
Financials +0.57%
Industrials +0.24%
Communication Services +0.16%
SECTOR % CHG
Consumer Staples +0.13%
Consumer Discretionary -0.11%
Health Care -0.41%
Real Estate -0.61%
Information Technology -1.08%

S&P 500 SESSION CHART

S&P 500 intraday
S&P 500 lower but off worst levels (Source: TradingView)

ASX TODAY

  • ASX 200 set to rise for a third consecutive session, led by resource-related stocks

  • Innodata withdraws bid to acquire Appen (Investing.com)

  • WAM loads up on Cettire, likening the ‘noise’ to Afterpay (AFR)

  • Westpac actively looking to replace CEO Peter King by year end (The Australian)

  • Australian government to underwrite close to $1.1bn in loans and grants to support rare earths and lithium (The Australian)

BROKER MOVES

  • Centaurus Metals reinstated Speculative Buy with $0.80 target (Canaccord)

  • Liontown downgraded to Hold from Speculative Buy but target increased to $1.30 from $1.10 (Canaccord)

  • Liontown upgraded to Neutral from Underweight and target increased to $1.35 from $0.90 (Barrenjoey)

  • Lynas Rare Earths initiated Underweight with $5.00 target (Morgan Stanley)

  • Macquarie downgraded three big four banks 

    • ANZ downgraded to Underperform from Neutral but target increased to $27 from $25

    • NAB downgraded to Underperform from Neutral but target increased to $32.50 from $30

    • Westpac downgraded to Underperform from Outperform but target increased to $26 to $25

    • CBA retained Underperform but target increased to $95 from $88

MARKETS

  • Major US benchmarks finished mixed overnight but mostly off worst levels

  • S&P 500 eased slightly following another record close in the previous session (the 17th so far this year)

  • Big tech was mostly lower, led by Tesla (-4.5%), Apple (-1.2%) and Nvidia (-1.1%)

  • Treasury yields were higher across the curve, most are on a three-day win streak

  • No major narrative changes following slightly hotter-than-expected CPI print – Broader disinflation trend still intact, markets still pricing in ~85 bps of rate cuts this year and analysts continue to push back against bubble talk

  • Copper prices soar to highest level since April 2023 (Reuters)

  • Oil prices up around 3% to a 4-month high as US crude stocks drop, Russian refinery attacks (Reuters)

  • Investors see US stock market due for a pullback, a lot of good news priced-in (Reuters)

INTERNATIONAL STOCKS

  • Stripe's total payment volumes surpassed US$1tn in 2023 up 25% year-on-year (CNBC)

  • Toyota agrees to give factory workers biggest pay bump in 25 years (Reuters)

  • Volkswagen considering partnership to produce cheaper EVs to compete with low-cost Chinese rivals (FT)

  • Tesla shares slide after Wells Fargo downgraded the EV maker, noting “risk to volume as price cuts are having a diminishing impact” (CNBC)

CENTRAL BANKS

  • Fed likely to hold until June, with rate-cut pace in focus (Reuters)

  • Wells Fargo joins other mega banks and changes first rate cut projection to June (Reuters)

  • BOJ's Ueda says wage negotiations critical in deciding when to phase out its big stimulus program (Reuters)

  • ECB's Villeroy notes of broad agreement to cut rates in spring (Bloomberg)

  • BoE Chief Bailey argues central banks need to consider how long to keep higher for longer (Reuters)

GEOPOLITICS

  • Putin says Russia is ready to use nuclear weapons if Russian sovereignty is threatened (Reuters)

  • Ukraine continues second day of assault on Russian energy infrastructure (FT)

  • Israeli parliament approved 2024 budget with defense spending at all-time high (Bloomberg)

  • House Republicans vow to proceed with vote to ban TikTok (Reuters)

  • US reportedly preparing $400m weapons package for Ukraine despite blockage in Congress (Reuters)

ECONOMY

  • UK economic growth rebounds in January after falling into a technical recession second half of 2023 (Bloomberg)

Industry ETFs

Thu 14 Mar 24, 8:22am (AEST)

Name Value % Chg
Commodities
Copper Miners 40.41 +6.04%
Silver 22.79 +3.17%
Gold Miners 30.29 +2.40%
Strategic Metals 52.61 +1.25%
Steel 70.21 +0.10%
Lithium & Battery Tech 46.47 -0.06%
Uranium 27.33 -2.91%
Industrials
Global Jets 19.72 +0.66%
Construction 71.26 +0.41%
Aerospace & Defense 126.95 -
Agriculture 22.96 -0.17%
Healthcare
Cannabis 5.15 +0.78%
Biotechnology 138.26 +0.16%
Name Value % Chg
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin 33.65 +2.62%
Renewables
CleanTech 9.58 -0.31%
Hydrogen 5.43 -1.63%
Solar 43.87 -1.68%
Technology
E-commerce 23.85 +2.27%
FinTech 27.3 +0.78%
Cybersecurity 30.91 +0.16%
Sports Betting/Gaming 17.86 +0.15%
Video Games/eSports 63.94 -0.19%
Cloud Computing 21.98 -0.23%
Electric Vehicles 24.32 -0.78%
Robotics & AI 32.08 -0.83%
Semiconductor 224.17 -2.44%

Resources Are In For A Good Time

Solid overnight session for all-things materials and energy. We'll go through some of the key movers below.

Copper: Copper prices rallied 3.2%, breaking above the key US$4.0 level to levels not seen since April 2023. Top Chinese copper smelters jointly agreed to production cuts at some loss-making plants to cope with a shortage of the raw material, according to Reuters. The agreement comes as fees to process copper concentrate have dropped to their lowest in more than a decade. The Global X Copper Miners ETF opened 2.3% higher overnight and finished the session up 6.0%. This should drive a strong response for local copper names (not that we have many left). A few notable names to watch include Sandfire Resources (ASX: SFR), 29Metals (ASX: 29M) and Aeris Resources (ASX: AIS).

Gold: Most large cap gold names finished 2-3% lower on Wednesday after gold prices snapped a 9-day win streak. Gold prices bounced overnight, recouping most of Wednesday's pullback. The VanEck Gold Miners ETF opened 0.7% higher and finished the session up 2.4% – Marking the highest close since 2 January.

Energy: Oil prices are pushing four-month highs after US Energy Information Administration reported an unexpected 5.5 million barrel draw in gasoline inventories for the week ending 8 March. This was well-above consensus expectations of a 1.9 million barrel draw. Likewise, oil inventories experienced a 1.5 million barrel draw vs. expectations of a 1.3 million barrel increase. The drawdowns reflect an extended winter break for local refiners and some near-term tightness in US oil markets. Interestingly, Woodside (ASX: WDS) looks like it was going to fall off a cliff – Briefly touching $28.64 on Wednesday or the lowest since May 2022.

WDS 2024-03-14 08-28-14
Woodside daily price chart (Source: TradingView)

Key Events

ASX corporate actions occurring today:

  • Trading ex-div: SRG Global (SRG) – $0.02, TPG Telecom (TPG) – $0.09, Regis Healthcare (REG) – $0.063, PWR Holdings (PWH) – $0.048, Eagers Automotive (APE) – $0.50, Southern Cross Media (SXL) – $0.01, Breville Group (BRG) – $0.16, Shriro (SHM) – $0.02, Austin Engineering (ANG) – $0.004, Embelton (EMB) – $0.15, Inghams (ING) – $0.12

  • Dividends paid: Eumundi (EBG) – $0.035, Resmed (RMD) – $0.048, Bell Financial Group (BFG) – $0.04, APA Group (APA) – $0.265, Count (CUP) – $0.015, EVT (EVT) – $0.14, Ansell (ANN) – $0.252

  • Listing: None

Economic calendar (AEDT):

  • 11:30 pm : US Producer Price Index (Feb)

  • 11:30 pm: US Retail Sales (Feb)

Written By

Kerry Sun

Content Strategist

Kerry holds a Bachelor of Commerce from Monash University. He is an avid swing trader, focused on technical set ups and breakouts. Outside of writing and trading, Kerry is a big UFC fan, loves poker and training Muay Thai. Connect via LinkedIn or email.

Get the latest news and insights direct to your inbox

Subscribe free