Market Wraps

Morning Wrap: ASX 200 to rise + Iron ore prices at six-week highs on China stimulus bets

Wed 07 Jun 23, 8:24am (AEST)

ASX 200 futures are trading 24 points higher, up 0.33% as of 8:20 am AEST.

US markets edge higher in a rather uneventful overnight session, S&P 500 is closer to rallying 20% off October 2022 lows, SEC sues Binance for 'mishandling billions of dollars', Chinese stocks and iron ore gain on stimulus hopes and a few expert takes on the current state of play for US markets.

Let's dive in.

Overnight Summary

Wed 07 Jun 23, 8:24am (AEDT)

Name Value Chg %
Major Indices
S&P 500 4,284 +0.24%
Dow Jones 33,573 +0.03%
NASDAQ Comp 13,276 +0.36%
Russell 2000 1,855 +2.69%
Country Indices
Canada 20,056 +0.62%
China 3,195 -1.15%
Germany 15,992 +0.18%
Hong Kong 19,099 -0.05%
India 62,793 +0.01%
Japan 32,507 +0.90%
United Kingdom 7,628 +0.37%
Name Value Chg %
Commodities (USD)
Gold 1,979.70 -0.09%
Iron Ore 108.59 -
Copper 3.767 -0.04%
WTI Oil 71.53 -0.29%
AUD/USD 0.6672 +0.03%
Bitcoin (AUD) 40,564 +5.43%
Ethereum (AUD) 2,817 +4.03%
US 10 Yr T-bond 3.699 +0.16%
VIX 14 -5.23%

US Sectors

Wed 07 Jun 23, 8:24am (AEDT)

Sector Chg %
Financials +1.33%
Consumer Discretionary +0.99%
Energy +0.69%
Real Estate +0.66%
Materials +0.65%
Industrials +0.60%
Communication Services +0.49%
Utilities -0.07%
Information Technology -0.12%
Consumer Staples -0.47%
Health Care -0.88%


S&P 500 Intraday
S&P 500 higher and closed towards session highs (Source: TradingView) 


  • S&P 500 higher in a relatively uneventful session with limited upside

  • Market lacking directional drivers ahead of next week’s US CPI print and Fed decision

  • Speculator positioning in S&P 500 futures remains most net short since Sep 2007

  • S&P 500 close to 20% off Oct 22 lows – 10 out of 13 times stocks gained 20% off bear market lows showed that 'the low' was in and a year later, up 17.7% on average

  • FOMO driving retail investors into tech stocks (FT)

  • Bank of America strategists say 10th straight week of retail investor selling could be a bullish signal for stocks (Bloomberg)


  • TSMC says capex to low end of prior guidance range (Bloomberg)

  • Intel to sell US$1.5bn stake in its self-driving unit Mobileye (Reuters)

  • Apple acquires AR headset startup Mira (The Verge)

  • Tesla says all Model 3s now eligible for full $7,500 federal tax credit (Bloomberg)

  • GitLab posts smaller-than-expected loss, revenues rose 45% year-on-year (CNBC)

  • SEC says Binance mishandled billions in customer funds (Bloomberg)


  • German factory orders down for second month (Bloomberg)

  • Japan real wages declines for 13th straight month (Bloomberg)

  • UK consumer spending slows in May as high food prices bite (Reuters)

  • RBA raises cash rate, warns some further tightening may be required (Bloomberg)

  • ECB says consumer expectations for inflation eased a lot in April (Bloomberg)

  • ECB's Knot says core CPI stubborn but central rate hikes starting to work (Reuters)

  • China's state banks told to lower cap on dollar deposit rates (Reuters)

  • China may cut rates further in H2, government researcher says (Reuters)

Industry ETFs

Wed 07 Jun 23, 8:24am (AEDT)

Description Last Chg %
Copper Miners 37.39 +1.58%
Steel 60.69 +1.51%
Lithium & Battery Tech 63.89 +0.87%
Strategic Metals 84.91 +0.87%
Nickel 27.9393 +0.12%
Gold 182.34 +0.11%
Uranium 21.62 0.00%
Silver 21.65 -0.18%
Aluminum 46.34 -1.70%
Global Jets 19.08 +1.54%
Aerospace & Defense 112.825 +0.90%
Cannabis 7.44 +2.48%
Biotechnology 129.08 -0.30%
Description Last Chg %
Bitcoin 15.2 +6.15%
Hydrogen 9.13 +2.01%
CleanTech 14.68 +0.14%
Solar 71.24 -0.79%
E-commerce 17.86 +3.30%
Electric Vehicles 24.88 +2.56%
Cloud Computing 19.47 +1.94%
FinTech 21.37 +1.62%
Cybersecurity 24.08 +1.26%
Video Games/eSports 55.1 +1.25%
Sports Betting/Gaming 17.2234 +1.22%
Semiconductor 482.02 +1.21%
Robotics & AI 28.68 +0.84%

Deeper Dive

S&P 500 outlook: TGA liquidity drain, outflows and semis

A few expert takes on where US markets are at:

  • JPMorgan: “We retain a cautious stance on risk assets ... as a looming liquidity contraction is added to recession concerns. ... broad liquidity in the US ... will contract by another US$1.1tn from here ... the worst US broad liquidity contraction since ... after the Lehman crisis.”

  • BMO: “It has become increasingly clear ... stock market resilience is here to stay ... labor market strength has remained intact ... the anticipated recipe for disaster is simply not present ... we are raising our 2023 S&P 500 year-end price target to 4,550 from 4,300.”

  • BofA: "Last week, clients were net sellers of US equities for the first time in three weeks. Single stocks saw outflows for the first time in three weeks and ETFs saw inflows for the third straight week ... private clients were net sellers for a tenth consecutive week, while institutional and hedge fund clients were both net buyers for the third consecutive week."

  • Citi: "Feels like semis have gotten ahead of themselves ... Given the 40% valuation premium the SOX has versus the S&P 500, we believe semis are due for a pullback ... AI spending could be cannibalising CPU spending as budgets are not going up in a weaker macro environment."

Sectors to Watch

Iron Ore: Singapore iron ore future are up 7.9% in June to a six-week high of US$106.85 amid growing expectations of more property focused stimulus measures in China. In addition, imported iron ore prices in China have been propelled by "better sentiment in the market during the May 29 to June 2 week, boosted by new data that gave market insiders confidence about near-term demand for steel and iron ore," according to Mysteel. US-listed BHP and Rio Tinto also rise 1.6% and 1.2% overnight.

eCommerce: The Global X eCommerce ETF rallied 3.3% overnight to a two-month high. Kogan's (ASX: KGN) chart is also holding up relatively well and trying to break out to levels not seen since April 2022. At the same time, several ASX-listed retail stocks have all nosedived more than 10% following trading updates in the past few weeks (e.g. Baby Bunting, Universal Store and Adairs). Is Kogan an exception?

KGn chart
Kogan price chart (Source: TradingView)

Key Events

ASX corporate actions occurring today:

  • Trading ex-div: None

  • Dividends paid: None

  • Listing: None

Economic calendar (AEST):

  • 9:00 am: Australia AI Group Industry Index

  • 9:20 am: RBA Lowe Speech

  • 11:30 am: Australia Q1 GDP

  • 1:00 pm: China Balance of Trade

  • 10:30 pm: US Balance of Trade 

Written By

Kerry Sun

Content Strategist

Kerry holds a Bachelor of Commerce from Monash University. He is an avid swing trader, focused on technical set ups and breakouts. Outside of writing and trading, Kerry is a big UFC fan, loves poker and training Muay Thai. Connect via LinkedIn or email.

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