Welcome back to the 52-week Series – A recap of ASX 200 stocks that have tagged a fresh yearly highs and lows in the past week.
Industrials: 4 Highs, 1 Low
Financials: 3 Highs, 0 Lows
Real Estate: 3 Highs, 0 Lows
Materials: 3 Highs, 0 Lows
Technology: 3 Highs, 0 Lows
Discretionary: 3 Highs, 0 Lows
Health Care: 3 Highs, 0 Lows
Staples: 0 Highs, 1 Low
Telecommunication: 0 Highs, 1 Low
Utilities: 0 Highs, 0 Lows
Energy: 0 Highs, 0 Lows
Not a whole lot: Several key sectors, including Financials, Real Estate, and Miners, are experiencing a period of consolidation after recent broad, sector-wide movements.
Financials take a breather as China's stimulus measures have triggered a rotation out of expensive banks and into beaten-up miners.
Real Estate stocks are pulling back amid a resurgence in bond yields. The US 10-year bond yield has risen approximately 23 basis points in the last three sessions, influenced by a strong US jobs report. Last Friday, nonfarm payrolls grew by 250,000 in September, significantly exceeding market expectations of 150,000. It's worth noting that real estate stocks typically have an inverse relationship with bond yields.
The Mining sector is cooling off after a substantial China-inspired rally. However, concerns are growing that China's stimulus measures may not be sufficient to boost its struggling economy. Some analysts, including economists led by Ting Lu, have warned of a potential scenario similar to 2015, where "a stock market mania would be followed by a crash." Bloomberg reported that this pessimistic outcome may have a "much higher probability" than more optimistic scenarios.
Quality shines: Several companies that performed well during August reporting season have continued to climb. Notable stocks that beat analyst expectations and/or provided a strong FY25 guidance include Hub24, Brambles and Wisetech Global.
Ticker | Company | Close | Sector | 1 Week | 1 Year |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Super Retail Group | $17.96 | Discretionary | -0.1% | 55.2% | |
ARB Corporation | $43.51 | Discretionary | -8.1% | 49.5% | |
Aristocrat Leisure | $56.93 | Discretionary | -2.1% | 42.7% | |
Hub24 | $59.88 | Financials | 1.2% | 83.5% | |
Netwealth Group | $24.83 | Financials | -2.2% | 73.3% | |
Macquarie Group | $224.91 | Financials | -3.7% | 36.4% | |
Sigma Healthcare | $2.04 | Health Care | 40.2% | 211.2% | |
Pro Medicus | $179.02 | Health Care | 2.9% | 116.0% | |
Ansell | $32.15 | Health Care | 1.5% | 46.9% | |
Ventia Services | $4.52 | Industrials | -0.9% | 65.0% | |
Seven Group | $43.04 | Industrials | 0.8% | 51.3% | |
Qantas Airways | $7.00 | Industrials | -5.7% | 44.6% | |
Brambles | $18.74 | Industrials | 0.5% | 32.8% | |
Alcoa Corporation | $55.69 | Materials | -2.7% | NA | |
Sandfire Resources | $10.77 | Materials | 0.8% | 79.5% | |
Lynas Rare Earths | $7.61 | Materials | -1.9% | 19.1% | |
HMC Capital | $8.56 | Real Estate | 8.4% | 83.7% | |
Goodman Group | $37.07 | Real Estate | 3.2% | 72.0% | |
Centuria Capital | $2.01 | Real Estate | -5.2% | 50.0% | |
Wisetech Global | $130.53 | Technology | -3.4% | 110.0% | |
Technology One | $24.25 | Technology | 1.9% | 55.8% | |
Siteminder | $6.22 | Technology | 0.3% | 35.5% |
Ticker | Company | Close | Sector | 1 Week | 1 Year |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spark New Zealand | $2.88 | Telecommunication | 0.7% | -36.1% | |
IPH | $5.69 | Industrials | -7.8% | -22.2% | |
Inghams Group | $2.88 | Staples | -4.0% | -13.3% |
Here are some of the key points our first 52-Week article:
A research thesis by Thomas J. George and Chuan-Yang Hwang titled The 52-Week High and Momentum Investing concludes that stocks nearing their 52-week high tend to outperform in the future, surpassing the predictive power of past returns.
US trader Mark Minervini also notes that “when you see a growing number of names in a particular industry making new 52-week highs (especially coming off a market low), this could be an indication that a group advance is underway.”
1851 Capital Chief Investment Officer Chris Stott says the numbers are useful in helping to determine which stocks have the momentum to keep making fresh highs. The data is used to identify continuous winners and generate fresh ideas
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