Market Wraps

Morning Wrap: ASX 200 to fall, S&P 500 lower + M&A and earnings from ResMed, BHP and Newmont

Fri 26 Apr 24, 8:30am (AEST)

ASX 200 futures are trading 52 points lower, down -0.68% as of 8:30 am AEST.

Major US benchmarks slipped overnight as GDP data showed a slowdown in economic growth and an uptick in inflation, bond yields continue to push towards uncomfortable levels, retail investor sentiment flips bearish for the first time since November, Meta shares tumble more than 10% on a mixed first quarter result, BHP lobs a $56bn bid for Anglo American, ResMed tops earnings expectations and Newmont rallies 12% overnight on better-than-expected earnings.

Let's dive in.

Overnight Summary

Thu 30 May 24, 8:20am (AEST)

Name Value % Chg
Major Indices
S&P 500 5,267 -0.74%
Dow Jones 38,442 -1.06%
NASDAQ Comp 16,921 -0.58%
Russell 2000 2,036 -1.48%
Country Indices
Canada 21,898 -1.65%
China 3,111 +0.05%
Germany 18,473 -1.10%
Hong Kong 18,477 -1.83%
India 74,503 -0.89%
Japan 38,557 -0.77%
United Kingdom 8,183 -0.86%
Name Value % Chg
Commodities (USD)
Gold 2,341.2 -0.65%
Iron Ore 117.74 +0.05%
Copper 4.791 -1.32%
WTI Oil 79.23 -0.75%
Currency
AUD/USD 0.6612 -0.56%
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin (AUD) 102,297 -1.10%
Ethereum (AUD) 5,709 -1.78%
Miscellaneous
US 10 Yr T-bond 4.624 +1.81%
VIX 14.28 +10.53%

US Sectors

Thu 30 May 24, 8:21am (AEST)

SECTOR % CHG
Information Technology -0.36%
Consumer Discretionary -0.56%
Communication Services -0.56%
Consumer Staples -0.75%
Health Care -0.80%
Financials -0.84%
SECTOR % CHG
Real Estate -0.93%
Utilities -1.32%
Materials -1.42%
Industrials -1.42%
Energy -1.76%

S&P 500 SESSION CHART

SPX 2024-04-26 07-36-31
S&P 500 recovers some of its early morning losses (Source: TradingView)

OVERNIGHT MARKETS

  • S&P 500 lower overnight but finished well above session lows of -1.60%

  • Bond yields up for a second straight session on hotter-than-expected US core PCE data (3.7% vs. 3.4% consensus)

  • US 10-year yield nears highest level since last November and 2-year yield hit 5.0%

  • Markets push back first rate cut to November after today's growth and inflation data (FT)

  • Retail traders turn bearish for first time since November as AAII bull-bear spread flips negative (Bloomberg)

  • Rubrik jumps 21% in latest strong IPO (Reuters)

  • Investors withdrew record US$8.8bn from sustainable funds in Q1 (Reuters)

INTERNATIONAL STOCKS

  • Meta's Q1 earnings miss triggers worries about AI spending at US tech megacaps (Bloomberg)

  • Meta's Zuckerberg asks investors for patience on AI push that triggered concerns about spending (Bloomberg)

  • Deutsche Bank Q1 profit highest in 11 years amid investment banking recovery (FT)

  • Ford beats Q1 sales estimates on high commercial truck demand (Bloomberg)

CENTRAL BANKS

  • BOJ feels heat from yen weakness, complicating further easy monetary policy (FT)

  • ECB's Schnabel warns last mile on deflation may be bumpy (Reuters)

  • Australian rates set to remain higher for longer as inflation remains sticky (The Aus)

GEOPOLITICS

  • Blinken asks China to provide level playing field for American businesses (Reuters)

  • Israel poised to evacuate civilians in Gaza ahead of planned Rafah offensive (Reuters)

  • Hamas official suggests group willing to put down its weapons in exchange for a two-state solution using 1967 borders (AP)

ECONOMY

  • US Q1 GDP grows at the slowest pace in nearly two years as surging imports and inventories weigh (Reuters)

  • German GfK consumer confidence hit a two-year high (Reuters)

  • South Korea Q1 GDP growth beats estimates (Reuters)

Industry ETFs

Thu 30 May 24, 8:21am (AEST)

Name Value % Chg
Commodities
Silver 29.17 -0.24%
Uranium 32.17 -0.95%
Strategic Metals 52.49 -1.15%
Lithium & Battery Tech 43.36 -1.52%
Steel 70.3131 -2.06%
Gold Miners 35.19 -2.52%
Copper Miners 48.73 -2.68%
Industrials
Agriculture 25.46 +0.99%
Construction 69.04 -1.09%
Aerospace & Defense 132.64 -1.22%
Global Jets 19.47 -2.31%
Healthcare
Biotechnology 132.51 -1.17%
Name Value % Chg
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin 27.23 -1.73%
Renewables
Solar 47.6 -0.04%
CleanTech 9.88 -1.30%
Hydrogen 6.5 -4.97%
Technology
Cloud Computing 19.73 -0.35%
E-commerce 23.51 -0.72%
Cybersecurity 28.75 -0.83%
Video Games/eSports 64.4 -1.18%
FinTech 25.11 -1.37%
Robotics & AI 31.05 -1.58%
Electric Vehicles 24.53 -1.80%
Semiconductor 237.58 -2.07%
Sports Betting/Gaming 16.36 -2.31%

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ASX TODAY

  • ASX 200 set to open lower as inflation surprises (Aus data from Wed and US core PCE overnight) continue to push bond yields higher and drag global equities lower

  • Markets remain in a cautious state following disappointing megacap tech earnings and stagflation worries sparked by the weaker-than-expected US GDP print

  • Gold and copper miners set to rally as prices for the commodities continued to push higher alongside upbeat earnings and M&A activity ((more on that below)

  • BHP confirms all-share proposal to Anglo American, valuing the multinational at approximately $56 billion (BHP

  • Newmont soared 12.5% overnight after first quarter earnings exceeded analyst expectations – EPS beat consensus by 52% and FY guidance was reaffirmed (NEM)

  • Qube could look to New Zealand for next acquisition (The Aus)

  • ResMed set to rally (NYSE ADRs up 9.0% in after hours) after March quarter earnings beat analyst expectations – EPS beat consensus by 10.3% (RMD)

BROKER MOVES

A few broker notes have popped up since Wednesday market close.

  • Beach Energy upgraded to Overweight from Neutral; target up to $1.85 from $1.80 (JPMorgan)

  • Champion Iron upgraded to Buy from Overweight; target up to $7.95 from $7.76 (Jarden)

  • Fortescue upgraded to Underperform from Sell; target up to $24.25 from $20 (CSLA)

  • Lynas downgraded to Underperform from Buy; target cut to $6.85 from $7.20 (Jarden)

  • Nick Scali upgraded to Buy from Overweight; target up to $15.40 from $13.87 (Jarden)

  • Regis Resources downgraded to Sell from Neutral; target cut to $1.80 from $2.15 (UBS)

  • Silver Lake upgraded to Buy from Hold with $1.70 target (Argonaut Securities)

  • Southern Cross Electrical initiated Buy with $1.50 target (Shaw and Partners)

Key Events

Companies trading ex-dividend: 

  • Fri 26 April: None

  • Mon 29 April: Acrow (ACF) – $0.029, 360 Capital Mortgage REIT (TCF) – $0.035

  • Tue 30 April: None

  • Wed 1 May: DRA Global (DRA) – $0.11

  • Thu 2 May: WAM Strategic Value (WAR) – $0.022, Waterco (WAT) – $0.07, Acorn Capital (ACQ) – $0.028, Bank of Queensland (BOQ) – $0.17

Other ASX corporate actions today: 

  • Dividends paid: Boral (BLD) – $0.26, Horizon Oil (HZN) – $0.015, Cedar Woods Properties (CWP) – $0.08, Australian Clinical Labs (ACL) – $0.03

  • Listing: None

Economic calendar (AEST):

  • 11:30 am: Australia Producer Price Index (March Quarter)

  • 1:00 pm: Bank of Japan Interest Rate Decision

  • 10:30 pm: US Core PCE Price Index (Mar)

Written By

Kerry Sun

Content Strategist

Kerry holds a Bachelor of Commerce from Monash University. He is an avid swing trader, focused on technical set ups and breakouts. Outside of writing and trading, Kerry is a big UFC fan, loves poker and training Muay Thai. Connect via LinkedIn or email.

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