BROKER WATCH

ASX Broker Moves: Upgrades for ANZ, CSL, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy vs Downgrades for Computershare, Corporate Travel, Origin Energy

The ASX stocks enjoying the biggest upgrades, downgrades, and price target changes. What the major brokers loved, hated, and why.

Lead Writer and Presenter
21 January 2025
This article is more than 12 months old and may be outdated
4 min read
ASX Broker Moves: Upgrades for ANZ, CSL, Lynas Rare Earths, Woodside Energy vs Downgrades for Computershare, Corporate Travel, Origin Energy

Source: Shutterstock, Market Index

Mentioned

KEY POINTS

  • Upgrades: Life360 (360), ANZ Group (ANZ), CSL (CSL), HMC Capital (HMC), Lynas Rare Earths (LYC), Megaport (MP1), National Australia Bank (NAB), Pexa Group (PXA), Ventia Services Group (VNT), Woodside Energy Group (WDS).
  • Downgrades: Computershare (CPU), Corporate Travel Management (CTD), Origin Energy (ORG).
  • Target price biggest increases: Mesoblast (MSB), HMC Capital (HMC), Gold Road Resources (GOR), Computershare (CPU), Generation Development Group (GDG).
  • Target price biggest cuts: Calix (CXL), NIB (NHF), Platinum Asset Management (PTM), Medadvisor (MDR), Paladin Energy (PDN), Megaport (MP1).

Welcome to today’s ASX Broker Moves – your most comprehensive source for recent changes in major broker ratings and price targets for the Australian stock market.

The tables below contain data on ratings upgrades, downgrades, and initiations, as well as the biggest price target changes among the broker research reports we’ve received in the last 24-hours.

You will find the full list of broker moves in tonight's edition of Evening Wrap.


Broker Views Snippets

  • Macquarie on ANZ Group (ASX: ANZ) & National Australia Bank (ASX: NAB) ⬆️: "We upgrade ANZ and NAB...recognising near-term upside to earnings for the sector and relative valuation appeal for these two banks" UPGRADE TO NEUTRAL.

  • Ord Minnett on CSL (ASX: CSL) ⬆️: "ResMed and CSL remain our top choices in the healthcare sector. We view them as attractively priced given our expectations of double-digit EPS growth across the forecast horizon." UPGRADE TO BUY.

  • Canaccord Genuity on Lynas Rare Earths (ASX: LYC) ⬆️: "LYC's fortunes are obviously pinned to rare earth pricing, which for now remains under pressure....our rating lifted on valuation upside. " UPGRADE TO BUY.

  • Citi on Computershare (ASX: CPU) ⬇️: "Consensus seems to be moving Computershare from Buy to Neutral and, for the moment we, somewhat reluctantly, join the chorus. The stock has rallied strongly and although we see sources of potential further upside, these are currently uncertain enough to prevent us from confidently predicting material further advance." DOWNGRADE TO NEUTRAL.

  • Macquarie on Deep Yellow (ASX: DYL) 🆕: "DYL stock currently implies a US$60/lb uranium price and can re-rate as it clears the path to 7Mlb/yr dual asset production, and/or as uranium contract price structures improve. Tumas progress is key (MRE first shipment late-2026, nameplate 2028), as is revised DFS for Mulga Rock (2025)" INITIATED AT OUTPERFORM.

  • Citi on Megaport (ASX: MP1) ⬇️: "A key concern on Megaport has been the lack of answers as to why net-revenue retention (NRR) has slowed. Recent price cuts do suggest that competition could be a factor...We lower our EBITDA forecasts by -15% to -44%...[but] with the stock trading on 20x FY26e EBITDA (Citi estimates) we reiterate our Buy" PRICE TARGET CUT TO $9.00 FROM $16.05.


Rating UPGRADED

Company
Broker
New Rating
Old Rating
Price Target
PT Upside%
Life360 (360)
UBS
Buy
Neutral
US$55
#VALUE!
ANZ Group (ANZ)
Macquarie
Neutral
Underperform
$28.00
-5.3%
CSL (CSL)
Ord Minnett
Buy
Accumulate
$318.00
15.8%
HMC Capital (HMC)
Bell Potter
Buy
Hold
$13.50
48.8%
Lynas Rare Earths (LYC)
Canaccord Genuity
Buy
Hold
$7.50
8.7%
Megaport (MP1)
Ord Minnett
Buy
Hold
$8.00
2.6%
National Australia Bank (NAB)
Macquarie
Neutral
Underperform
$36.00
-5.5%
Pexa Group (PXA)
Morgans
Add
Hold
$14.61
11.4%
Ventia Services Group (VNT)
CLSA
Outperform
Hold
$3.90
4.0%
Woodside Energy Group (WDS)
Jarden
Overweight
Neutral
$27.00
5.5%
Biggest broker price target changes since last update. Price Target Upside/Downside (“PT Upside%”) values in the last column are based on closing prices on most recent session's close.

Rating DOWNGRADED

Company
Broker
New Rating
Old Rating
Price Target
PT Upside%
Computershare (CPU)
Citi
Neutral
Buy
$35.00
2.4%
Computershare (CPU)
Jarden
Neutral
Overweight
$34.00
-0.6%
Computershare (CPU)
Morgans
Hold
Add
$34.43
0.7%
Corporate Travel Management (CTD)
Jefferies
Hold
Buy
$14.20
-0.6%
Origin Energy (ORG)
Jarden
Underweight
Neutral
$10.65
-4.9%
Biggest broker price target changes since last update. Price Target Upside/Downside (“PT Upside%”) values in the last column are based on closing prices on most recent session's close.

Rating INITIATED

Company
Broker
New Rating
Old Rating
Price Target
PT Upside%
Duratec (DUR)
Argonaut Securities
Buy
$1.75
10.8%
Deep Yellow (DYL)
Macquarie
Outperform
$2.00
53.3%
QPM Energy (QPM)
Ord Minnett
Buy
$0.12
90.5%
Smart Parking (SPZ)
E&P
Positive
$1.30
36.8%
Biggest broker price target changes since last update. Price Target Upside/Downside (“PT Upside%”) values in the last column are based on closing prices on most recent session's close.

Price Target BIGGEST CHANGE

Company
Broker
Rating
New PT
Old PT
PT Change%
PT Upside%
Mesoblast (MSB)
Bell Potter
Buy
$3.90
$1.40
178.6%
40.3%
HMC Capital (HMC)
Bell Potter
Buy
$13.50
$9.05
49.2%
48.8%
Gold Road Resources (GOR)
Argonaut Securities
Buy
$2.80
$2.40
16.7%
14.8%
Computershare (CPU)
Citi
Neutral
$35.00
$30.00
16.7%
2.4%
Generation Development Group (GDG)
Morgans
Hold
$4.01
$3.51
14.2%
-1.2%
QBE Insurance Group (QBE)
Citi
Buy
$22.00
$19.30
14.0%
11.4%
Insignia Financial (IFL)
Ord Minnett
Hold
$3.70
$3.25
13.8%
-16.5%
Kina Securities (KSL)
Morgans
Add
$1.45
$1.28
13.3%
31.2%
Gold Road Resources (GOR)
UBS
Buy
$2.60
$2.30
13.0%
6.6%
Beach Energy (BPT)
Morgan Stanley
Underweight
$1.46
$1.30
12.3%
-1.0%
Computershare (CPU)
Jarden
Neutral
$34.00
$30.50
11.5%
-0.6%
Suncorp Group (SUN)
Morgans
Add
$21.01
$18.92
11.0%
6.8%
National Australia Bank (NAB)
Macquarie
Neutral
$36.00
$32.50
10.8%
-5.5%
QBE Insurance Group (QBE)
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
$23.50
$21.25
10.6%
19.0%
Bendigo and Adelaide Bank (BEN)
Macquarie
Underperform
$10.50
$9.50
10.5%
-20.3%
Gold Road Resources (GOR)
Jefferies
Buy
$2.75
$2.50
10.0%
12.7%
Iress (IRE)
Jefferies
Hold
$10.15
$9.25
9.7%
5.3%
Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA)
Macquarie
Underperform
$105.00
$97.00
8.2%
-32.3%
Suncorp Group (SUN)
Morgan Stanley
Overweight
$22.10
$20.50
7.8%
12.3%
Origin Energy (ORG)
Jarden
Underweight
$10.65
$9.90
7.6%
-4.9%
Findi (FND)
Ord Minnett
Buy
$8.32
$7.76
7.2%
77.0%
Ampol (ALD)
Morgan Stanley
Equal-Weight
$32.00
$30.00
6.7%
8.3%
Insurance Australia Group (IAG)
Morgan Stanley
Equal-Weight
$8.00
$7.55
6.0%
-7.5%
ANZ Group (ANZ)
Macquarie
Neutral
$28.00
$26.50
5.7%
-5.3%
Westpac Banking Corporation (WBC)
Macquarie
Underperform
$28.00
$26.50
5.7%
-13.3%
Suncorp Group (SUN)
Citi
Neutral
$19.50
$18.55
5.1%
-0.9%
Wesfarmers (WES)
Ord Minnett
Lighten
$62.00
$59.00
5.1%
-13.6%
Mader Group (MAD)
Bell Potter
Hold
$6.80
$7.20
-5.6%
10.7%
Lynas Rare Earths (LYC)
Bell Potter
Hold
$7.20
$7.70
-6.5%
4.3%
GQG Partners (GQG)
Ord Minnett
Buy
$2.80
$3.00
-6.7%
42.5%
Patriot Battery Metals (PMT)
Bell Potter
Buy
$0.70
$0.75
-6.7%
79.5%
NIB (NHF)
Citi
Neutral
$6.00
$6.45
-7.0%
8.5%
COG Financial Services (COG)
Morgans
Buy
$1.16
$1.25
-7.2%
20.8%
Tyro Payments (TYR)
Morgans
Add
$1.51
$1.63
-7.4%
79.8%
Deep Yellow (DYL)
Bell Potter
Buy
$1.70
$1.90
-10.5%
30.3%
Ventia Services Group (VNT)
CLSA
Outperform
$3.90
$4.45
-12.4%
4.0%
Calix (CXL)
Shaw and Partners
Buy
$1.70
$2.00
-15.0%
132.9%
NIB (NHF)
Morgans
Add
$6.10
$7.31
-16.6%
10.3%
Platinum Asset Management (PTM)
Bell Potter
Sell
$0.59
$0.74
-20.3%
-13.9%
Medadvisor (MDR)
Bell Potter
Buy
$0.40
$0.55
-27.3%
95.1%
Paladin Energy (PDN)
Macquarie
Neutral
$9.10
$15.00
-39.3%
9.5%
Megaport (MP1)
Citi
Buy
$9.00
$16.05
-43.9%
15.4%
Biggest broker price target changes since last update. Price Target Upside/Downside (“PT Upside%”) values in the last column are based on closing prices as on most recent session's close.

How to read broker recommendations 🔎

Typically, there are two major components of a broker’s view:

Rating: A call to action, usually along the lines of buy, hold, or sell, but depending on the broker’s ratings system, can be somewhere in between (e.g., accumulate or add is typically between a hold and a buy). If a rating is initiated, it is the first time the broker has covered the stock in question.

Price target (PT): The price at which the broker expects the stock will be trading at some point in the future, generally within the next 12 months.

ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Lead Writer and Presenter

Carl brings more than 30 years of investing experience and a track record of helping thousands of investors navigate every kind of market. A highly regarded commentator on global macro trends and their impact on Australian and US equities, he is also one of Australia's most recognised educators in technical analysis — having taught his distinctive price-action trend following methodology to two generations of investors.

05/06/2026