Market Wraps

Morning Wrap: ASX 200 to inch higher, China promises "more proactive" stimulus, RBA to hold rates... again

Tue 10 Dec 24, 8:26am (AEDT)

ASX 200 futures are trading 3 points higher, or 0.03%, as of 8:25am AEDT.

While profit-taking was the mood on Wall Street last night, especially ahead of Wednesday's inflation data, there was one batch of ETFs that was rallying significantly - leveraged China ETPs. China’s Politburo said overnight that it will embrace a “moderately loose” strategy for monetary policy and has vowed to implement “more proactive” fiscal policy. If this follows through, it will be the first meaningful monetary policy change to come out of that country since 2011. Watch the ASX-listed miners and China-linked ETPs today. And while I would highlight that the RBA's December interest rate decision is at 2:30pm this afternoon, we all know they're not going to cut interest rates.

Let's dive in.

Overnight Summary

Tue 10 Dec 24, 8:25am (AEDT)

Name Value % Chg
Major Indices
S&P 500 6,053 -0.61%
Dow Jones 44,402 -0.54%
NASDAQ Comp 19,737 -0.62%
Russell 2000 2,395 -0.57%
Country Indices
Canada 25,625 -0.26%
China 3,403 -0.05%
Germany 20,346 -0.19%
Hong Kong 20,414 +2.76%
India 81,508 -0.25%
Japan 39,161 +0.18%
United Kingdom 8,352 +0.52%
Name Value % Chg
Commodities (USD)
Gold 2,679.8 +0.76%
Iron Ore 104.11 -
Copper 4.255 +1.39%
WTI Oil 68.15 +1.41%
Currency
AUD/USD 0.6435 +0.69%
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin (USD) 95,379 -4.52%
Ethereum (AUD) 5,679 -8.17%
Miscellaneous
US 10 Yr T-bond 4.199 +1.16%
VIX 14.13 +10.63%

US Sectors

Tue 10 Dec 24, 8:26am (AEDT)

SECTOR % CHG
Health Care +0.22%
Real Estate +0.09%
Materials -0.15%
Energy -0.20%
Consumer Discretionary -0.33%
Information Technology -0.45%
SECTOR % CHG
Consumer Staples -0.50%
Industrials -0.94%
Utilities -1.30%
Communication Services -1.31%
Financials -1.41%

S&P 500 SESSION CHART

SPX Monday 9 Dec 2024
One way traffic for US equity markets last night. (Source: TradingView)

OVERNIGHT MARKETS

  • US equities were lower in Monday trading as stocks ended just off worst levels. Today's weakness followed mixed performance last week, though S&P and Nasdaq boosted by big tech strength.

  • Treasuries weaker with a touch of curve steepening. US 10-Year yield at 4.2%.

  • US Dollar index up 0.1%, yen notably weaker. Bitcoin futures down 5.3%.

  • Gold finished up 1%. WTI crude ended up 1.7%.

MARKETS

  • US companies announce $35B in transactions on Monday as dealmaking confidence rises after election (FT)

  • Household finance outlook hits highest since February 2020 following Trump win, New York Fed survey shows (KNBC)

STOCKS

  • TikTok is seeking to pause US ban and bring case to US Supreme Court (Bloomberg)

  • Mondelez (the makers of Cadbury chocolate and Oreo biscuits) are reportedly exploring the acquisition of The Hershey Company (CNN)

  • Boeing announced it will lay off about 400 employees in Washington state (Reuters)

  • Suspect Luigi Mnagione being held by police in Pennsylvania as part of investigation into UnitedHealthcare CEO murder (Yahoo)

AUSTRALIAN STOCKS

  • Downer EDI announces partnership with Macquarie Asset Management to launch Diamond Infrastructure Solutions; DOW to receive initial cash proceeds of $2.4 billion (StreetAccount)

  • Dexus-run property fund to appeal court ruling forcing sale of A$830M stake in Sydney's Macquarie Centre (AFR)

  • Delays in restarting buyback spur speculation around M&A at James Hardie Industries (The Australian)

  • Soul Patts sells shares in Tuas through Jarden (The Australian)

GEOPOLITICS

  • Assad's fall in Syria deprives Iran and Russia of a regional ally, but may cause Islamist resurgence (Reuters)

  • IMF and El Salvador come to agreement on loan program in return for changes to bitcoin use, deficit reduction (FT)

ECONOMY

  • Citigroup joins rest of big banks with forecast of 25bp rate cut at December's FOMC meeting (Reuters)

  • Average US gasoline prices fall below $3 a gallon for the first time in over three years (Reuters)

  • US wholesale inventories for October rise m/m, in line with expectations (Reuters)

  • Main US housing survey shows consumer confidence around housing again rising in November (Yahoo)

Industry ETFs

Tue 10 Dec 24, 8:26am (AEDT)

Name Value % Chg
Commodities
Copper Miners 43.59 +3.84%
Lithium & Battery Tech 45.84 +3.76%
Strategic Metals 45.34 +3.56%
Gold Miners 37.93 +3.01%
Silver 28.975 +2.57%
Steel 70.0 +2.17%
Uranium 30.39 -4.44%
Industrials
Agriculture 27.37 +0.44%
Global Jets 25.23 -1.14%
Aerospace & Defense 149.27 -1.87%
Construction 83.4799 -2.16%
Healthcare
Biotechnology 141.74 +0.31%
Name Value % Chg
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin 24.75 -5.25%
Renewables
Solar 36.79 +4.16%
CleanTech 7.4 +3.31%
Hydrogen 25.74 +1.86%
Technology
Electric Vehicles 24.22 +1.64%
E-commerce 29.88 +1.53%
Cybersecurity 34.23 -0.15%
Cloud Computing 25.49 -0.39%
Semiconductor 218.77 -0.48%
Robotics & AI 33.81 -1.08%
Sports Betting/Gaming 20.2331 -1.98%
FinTech 33.44 -2.14%
Video Games/eSports 87.13 -2.32%

BROKER MOVES

  • Gold Road Resources upgraded to sector perform from underperform at RBC Capital Markets, price target of $2.30 (implying 10% upside)

  • Pantoro initiated buy at Moelis Australia, price target of $0.14 (implying 56% upside)

  • Telstra Group upgraded to buy from hold at Jefferies, price target of $4.50 (implying 12% upside)

Key Events

Stocks trading ex-dividend: 

  • Tue 10 Dec: Premier Investments (PMV) - 1.98%

  • Wed 11 Dec: WCM Global Growth Limited (WCG) - 1.09%

  • Fri 13 Dec: Metcash (MTS) - 2.54%

Economic calendar (AEDT):

  • 2:30pm: RBA Interest Rate Decision and Press Conference (Dec)

  • OPEC+ Meetings continue today

Written By

Hans Lee

Senior Editor

Hans is one of the Senior Editors at Livewire Markets and Market Index. He created Signal or Noise and leads the team's coverage of the global economy and fixed income markets.

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