Broker Watch

ASX Broker Moves: Upgrades for A2 Milk Co., Cochlear, Pro Medicus vs Downgrades for Westpac, James Hardie Industries

Tue 18 Feb 25, 2:54pm (AEDT)
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Key Points

  • Upgrades: A2 Milk Co. (A2M), Audinate (AD8), Cochlear (COH), Graincorp (GNC), Judo Capital (JDO), Northern Star Resources (NST), Pro Medicus (PME), Treasury Wine (TWE).
  • Downgrades: AGL Energy (AGL), Bluescope Steel (BSL), James Hardie Industries (JHX), Lendlease Group (LLC), Northern Star Resources (NST), Westpac Banking Corporation (WBC).
  • Target price biggest increases: Bravura Solutions (BVS), Temple & Webster Group (TPW), Mirvac Group (MGR), Computershare (CPU).
  • Target price biggest cuts: Syrah Resources (SYR), Talga Group (TLG), Playside Studios (PLY), Orora (ORA).

Welcome to today’s ASX Broker Moves – your most comprehensive source for recent changes in major broker ratings and price targets for the Australian stock market.

The tables below contain data on ratings upgrades, downgrades, and initiations, as well as the biggest price target changes among the broker research reports we’ve received since Friday 14 February.

You will find the full list of broker moves in tonight's edition of Evening Wrap.


Broker Views Snippets

  • Macquarie on The A2 Milk Company (ASX: A2M) ⬆️: “Despite re-rate, we believe momentum remains, and EL [“English Label”] market outlook was a key positive…we see limited downside catalysts near term, and the P/E is around median post-COVID.” UPGRADE TO OUTPERFORM

  • UBS on Cochlear (ASX: COH) ⬆️: “Cochlear still faces the prospect of a vaccine against CMV, a major cause of neonatal deafness, developed by Moderna…We still think there is room for downside surprise but a scenario where Moderna's trial fails or efficacy is weak would imply valuation plus circa AUD10 all else equal.” UPGRADE TO NEUTRAL

  • Bell Potter on Pro Medicus (ASX: PME) ⬆️: “The PME full stack solution continues to wipe the floor with competitors – 10 contract announcements in the LTM [“last 12 months]…we expect further growth in the cardiology space with the first small scale implementation to take place in April 2025.” UPGRADE TO BUY

  • Morgan Stanley on James Hardie Industries (ASX: JHX) ⬇️: “We remain believers in the structural growth story driven by share gains in new housing and R&R [“remove and replace”], with the over-arching dynamic of an underbuild of housing and aging existing home stock in the US. That said, we think it will be hard for JHX to outperform when key drivers remain benign and with a risk that the forecast recovery is pushed out, creating downside risk for earnings.” DOWNGRADE TO EQUAL-WEIGHT

  • UBS on Syrah Resources (ASX: SYR) ⬇️: “SYR continues to face significant headwinds at both a company and industry level…On a commodity level we see graphite prices as having bottomed but don't see any nearterm fundamental catalysts that could see prices re-rate with Chinese synthetic capacity still an overhang.” DOWNGRADE TO NEUTRAL AND PRICE TARGET CUT -62.5%

  • Ord Minnett on Westpac Banking Corp. (ASX: WBC) ⬇️: Broker cites narrower interest margins and increased staff costs reported in Monday’s quarterly update. DOWNGRADE TO LIGHTEN

  • Shaw and Partners on Bravura Solutions (ASX: BVS) ⬆️: “Highlights of the recent AGM included: 1) EBITDA and cash EBITDA guidance reiterated, 2) continued execution towards strategic pillars and growing pipeline, and; 3) A demonstrated strong financial position.” PRICE TARGET RAISED +70.6%


Rating UPGRADED

Company

Broker

New Rating

Old Rating

Price Target

PT Upside%

The A2 Milk Company (A2M)

Macquarie

Outperform

Neutral

$7.85

10.3%

Audinate Group (AD8)

Jefferies

Buy

Hold

$12.00

25.1%

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank (BEN)

E&P

Neutral

Negative

$11.00

-3.3%

Cochlear (COH)

Bank of America

Neutral

Underperform

$270.00

-1.8%

Cochlear (COH)

Jefferies

Buy

Hold

$308.00

12.0%

Cochlear (COH)

JP Morgan

Overweight

Neutral

$311.00

13.1%

Cochlear (COH)

UBS

Neutral

Sell

$285.00

3.6%

Domain Australia (DHG)

Bell Potter

Buy

Hold

$3.30

2.8%

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare Corporation (FPH)

Wilsons

Overweight

Market-Weight

$35.00

8.7%

Graincorp (GNC)

Jefferies

Buy

Hold

$9.00

28.2%

Homeco Daily Needs Reit (HDN)

Moelis Australia

Buy

Hold

$1.36

11.5%

Judo Capital (JDO)

E&P

Positive

Neutral

$2.23

15.2%

Newmont Corporation (NEM)

CLSA

Hold

Underperform

$66.55

-9.4%

Northern Star Resources (NST)

CLSA

Outperform

Hold

$19.50

8.9%

Origin Energy (ORG)

Jarden

Neutral

Underweight

$10.25

-3.3%

Pro Medicus (PME)

Bell Potter

Buy

Hold

$330.00

16.8%

South32 (S32)

Citi

Buy

Neutral

$4.00

8.4%

Treasury Wine Estates (TWE)

Ord Minnett

Buy

Hold

$12.00

10.0%

Biggest broker price target changes since last update. Price Target Upside/Downside (“PT Upside%”) values in the last column are based on closing prices on most recent session's close.

Rating DOWNGRADED

Company

Broker

New Rating

Old Rating

Price Target

PT Upside%

AGL Energy (AGL)

Ord Minnett

Hold

Accumulate

$11.00

2.6%

Bluescope Steel (BSL)

Jarden

Underweight

Neutral

$23.30

-7.7%

Cochlear (COH)

RBC Capital Markets

Sector Perform

Outperform

$312.00

13.5%

Cochlear (COH)

Wilsons

Market-Weight

Overweight

$280.00

1.8%

Civmec (CVL)

Morgans

Hold

Add

$1.10

8.9%

Domain Australia (DHG)

Jarden

Overweight

Buy

$3.30

2.8%

James Hardie Industries (JHX)

Morgan Stanley

Equal-Weight

Overweight

$55.00

7.9%

Lendlease Group (LLC)

Citi

Neutral

Buy

$8.00

18.2%

Northern Star Resources (NST)

Bell Potter

Hold

Buy

$20.00

11.7%

Orora (ORA)

Jefferies

Hold

Buy

$2.10

-5.4%

Orora (ORA)

Jarden

Overweight

Buy

$2.40

8.1%

Pro Medicus (PME)

Wilsons

Market-Weight

Overweight

$297.00

5.1%

Syrah Resources (SYR)

UBS

Neutral

Buy

$0.30

20.0%

Temple & Webster Group (TPW)

UBS

Sell

Neutral

$15.50

-15.7%

Temple & Webster Group (TPW)

Ord Minnett

Sell

Hold

$13.15

-28.5%

Westpac Banking Corporation (WBC)

Jarden

Underweight

Neutral

$31.20

-6.3%

Westpac Banking Corporation (WBC)

Ord Minnett

Lighten

Hold

$27.00

-18.9%

Biggest broker price target changes since last update. Price Target Upside/Downside (“PT Upside%”) values in the last column are based on closing prices on most recent session's close.

Rating INITIATED

Company

Broker

New Rating

Old Rating

Price Target

PT Upside%

Firefly Metals (FFM)

BMO Capital Markets

Buy

 

$1.75

72.4%

SPC Global Holdings (SPG)

Ord Minnett

Buy

 

$1.00

22.0%

Biggest broker price target changes since last update. Price Target Upside/Downside (“PT Upside%”) values in the last column are based on closing prices on most recent session's close.

Price Target BIGGEST CHANGE

Company

Broker

Rating

New PT

Old PT

PT Change%

PT Upside%

Pro Medicus (PME)

JP Morgan

Neutral

$282.00

$130.00

116.9%

-0.2%

Bravura Solutions (BVS)

Shaw and Partners

Buy

$2.90

$1.70

70.6%

4.7%

Temple & Webster Group (TPW)

Citi

Buy

$21.10

$13.50

56.3%

14.7%

Temple & Webster Group (TPW)

Morgan Stanley

Overweight

$18.50

$13.15

40.7%

0.6%

The A2 Milk Company (A2M)

Macquarie

Outperform

$7.85

$5.70

37.7%

10.3%

Audinate Group (AD8)

Jefferies

Buy

$12.00

$9.00

33.3%

25.1%

Temple & Webster Group (TPW)

Jarden

Buy

$18.65

$14.01

33.1%

1.4%

Temple & Webster Group (TPW)

UBS

Sell

$15.50

$11.80

31.4%

-15.7%

Temple & Webster Group (TPW)

Macquarie

Outperform

$17.60

$13.55

29.9%

-4.3%

SG Fleet Group (SGH)

Goldman Sachs

Buy

$59.30

$45.90

29.2%

8.9%

Temple & Webster Group (TPW)

Bell Potter

Hold

$15.60

$12.20

27.9%

-15.2%

Pro Medicus (PME)

Bell Potter

Buy

$330.00

$260.00

26.9%

16.8%

Ora Banda Mining (OBM)

Canaccord Genuity

Buy

$1.05

$0.85

23.5%

8.8%

Audinate Group (AD8)

Morgan Stanley

Overweight

$11.00

$9.00

22.2%

14.7%

The A2 Milk Company (A2M)

Bell Potter

Hold

$7.25

$6.00

20.8%

1.8%

Bluescope Steel (BSL)

JP Morgan

Neutral

$25.00

$21.00

19.0%

-1.0%

Bluescope Steel (BSL)

Citi

Buy

$28.50

$24.00

18.8%

12.9%

Bluescope Steel (BSL)

UBS

Buy

$28.50

$24.00

18.8%

12.9%

Temple & Webster Group (TPW)

RBC Capital Markets

Outperform

$19.00

$16.00

18.8%

3.3%

Mirvac Group (MGR)

Macquarie

Outperform

$2.56

$2.17

18.0%

15.3%

Computershare (CPU)

Morgan Stanley

Equal-Weight

$36.60

$31.10

17.7%

-14.8%

GQG Partners (GQG)

Morgans

Add

$2.85

$2.45

16.3%

13.1%

Newmont Corporation (NEM)

CLSA

Hold

$66.55

$57.40

15.9%

-9.4%

The A2 Milk Company (A2M)

Morgans

Hold

$6.87

$5.95

15.5%

-3.5%

Bluescope Steel (BSL)

Macquarie

Outperform

$28.70

$24.90

15.3%

13.7%

Temple & Webster Group (TPW)

Ord Minnett

Sell

$13.15

$11.50

14.3%

-28.5%

Bluescope Steel (BSL)

RBC Capital Markets

Outperform

$27.25

$24.00

13.5%

7.9%

Audinate Group (AD8)

Macquarie

Neutral

$8.70

$7.70

13.0%

-9.3%

Iperionx (IPX)

Bell Potter

Buy

$5.90

$5.25

12.4%

34.1%

The A2 Milk Company (A2M)

Citi

Reduce

$8.20

$7.33

11.9%

15.2%

Chalice Mining (CHN)

Bell Potter

Buy

$5.75

$5.15

11.7%

289.8%

Pro Medicus (PME)

Morgans

Hold

$250.00

$225.00

11.1%

-11.5%

Pro Medicus (PME)

Citi

Sell

$165.00

$150.00

10.0%

-41.6%

Lotus Resources (LOT)

Bell Potter

Buy

$0.45

$0.50

-10.0%

125.0%

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank (BEN)

Morgan Stanley

Equal-Weight

$10.70

$12.00

-10.8%

-5.9%

Graincorp (GNC)

Macquarie

Outperform

$8.76

$9.85

-11.1%

24.8%

New Hope Corporation (NHC)

Macquarie

Outperform

$5.50

$6.20

-11.3%

23.6%

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank (BEN)

JP Morgan

Neutral

$10.70

$12.10

-11.6%

-5.9%

Graincorp (GNC)

CLSA

Outperform

$9.50

$10.75

-11.6%

35.3%

Orora (ORA)

Macquarie

Outperform

$2.50

$2.84

-12.0%

12.6%

Orora (ORA)

Citi

Neutral

$2.40

$2.80

-14.3%

8.1%

Orora (ORA)

Morgans

Hold

$2.15

$2.60

-17.3%

-3.2%

Civmec (CVL)

Bell Potter

Buy

$1.40

$1.70

-17.6%

38.6%

Graincorp (GNC)

Bell Potter

Hold

$7.54

$9.25

-18.5%

7.4%

Cochlear (COH)

Wilsons

Market-Weight

$280.00

$345.00

-18.8%

1.8%

Civmec (CVL)

Morgans

Hold

$1.10

$1.40

-21.4%

8.9%

Orora (ORA)

Jefferies

Hold

$2.10

$3.00

-30.0%

-5.4%

Playside Studios (PLY)

Shaw and Partners

Buy

$0.50

$0.90

-44.4%

104.1%

Talga Group (TLG)

UBS

Buy

$0.80

$1.70

-52.9%

75.8%

Syrah Resources (SYR)

UBS

Neutral

$0.30

$0.80

-62.5%

20.0%

Biggest broker price target changes since last update. Price Target Upside/Downside (“PT Upside%”) values in the last column are based on closing prices as on most recent session's close.

How to read broker recommendations 🔎

Typically, there are two major components of a broker’s view:

Rating: A call to action, usually along the lines of buy, hold, or sell, but depending on the broker’s ratings system, can be somewhere in between (e.g., accumulate or add is typically between a hold and a buy).

Price target (PT): The price at which the broker expects the stock will be trading at some point in the future, generally within the next 12 months.

Written By

Carl Capolingua

Content Editor

Carl has over 30-year's investing experience, helping investors navigate several bull and bear markets over this time. He is a well respected markets commentator who specialises in how the global macro impacts Australian and US equities. Carl has a passion for technical analysis and has taught his unique brand of price-action trend following to thousands of Aussie investors.

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