MARKET WRAPS

Morning Wrap: ASX 200 to fall amid renewed US-Iran tensions

ASX 200 futures are down 50 pts (-0.6%) after US markets retreat, oil above US$100 a barrel

Managing Editor
Fri 24 July 2026, 08:19 AEST (1h ago)
4 min read

In this article

In a nutshell:

  • Aussie market set to close the week on a negative note following falls on Wall Street, with AI stocks taking a hit

  • Renewed US-Iran tensions sent oil back above $US100 a barrel

  • Trump imposes a 12.5% tariff on Australian imports

Let's dive in.


Overnight Summary

Name
Value
% Chg
Major Indices
S&P 500
S&P 500
7,408
-1.21%
Dow Jones
Dow Jones
51,712
-0.97%
NASDAQ Comp
NASDAQ Comp
25,138
-2.15%
Russell 2000
Russell 2000
2,940
-0.67%
Global Indices
S&P/TSX
S&P/TSX
35,193
-0.82%
Shanghai Composite
Shanghai Composite
3,877
+0.25%
DAX
DAX
24,763
-1.56%
Hang Seng
Hang Seng
25,211
+1.28%
Nifty 50
Nifty 50
76,391
-0.47%
Nikkei 225
Nikkei 225
66,423
+0.46%
FTSE 100
FTSE 100
10,639
-0.73%
Name
Value
% Chg
Commodities (USD)
Gold
Gold
4,049.77
-1.96%
Copper
Copper
6.3
-2.31%
WTI Oil
WTI Oil
92.36
+6.37%
Currency
AUD/USD
AUD/USD
0.6966
0.00%
Cryptocurrency
Bitcoin (USD)
Bitcoin (USD)
65,130
-1.34%
Ethereum (AUD)
Ethereum (AUD)
2,699
-2.83%
Miscellaneous
US 10 Yr T-bond
US 10 Yr T-bond
4.703
+0.99%
VIX
VIX
18.7
+12.38%

US Sectors

Sector
% Chg
Industrials
+1.77%
Health Care
+1.29%
Energy
+0.56%
Utilities
+0.52%
Real Estate
-0.07%
Financials
-0.34%
Sector
% Chg
Materials
-0.99%
Information Technology
-1.12%
Consumer Staples
-1.14%
Consumer Discretionary
-5.12%
Communication Services
-5.20%

S&P 500 Session Chart

S&P closed lower but ended off the session lows
S&P closed lower but ended off the session lows

Overnight Markets

  • Major US benchmarks closed sharply lower and pared only part of their intraday losses into the bell, as a megacap rout dragged the Nasdaq to its worst session in a month (CNBC)

  • The Magnificent 7 basket shed roughly $767bn in market value, its biggest one-day drop since the April 2025 tariff tantrum, led by Tesla and Alphabet (BBG)

  • Brent crude topped $100 a barrel for the first time in almost two months after Houthi strikes on two Saudi tankers, lifting energy costs and stoking fresh inflation worries (AP)

  • Treasury yields pushed to their highest levels of 2026 as the oil spike and hotter rate expectations rippled through the bond market (BBG)

  • Wall Street's fear gauge, the VIX, jumped back toward 20 as the selloff broadened across sectors (TE)


Iran & Energy

  • Trump warns Iran (and the Houthis) will face consequences for attacks on Saudi oil tankers in the Red Sea (CNBC)

  • Trump says he is seriously considering restarting major combat operations in Iran, but has not yet made a decision (Axios)

  • Despite current volatility, futures markets suggest investors expect oil prices to moderate to $86 per barrel by December (NY Times)

  • Three VLCCs navigate Strait of Hormuz amid rising tensions with Iran (BBG)

  • Russia considering extending its gasoline ban for another six months amid domestic shortage (IFX)


Stocks

  • Alphabet Q2 FY26 revenue rose 24% to $119.8bn and Google Cloud jumped 82% to $24.8bn, but shares fell about 7% as it lifted full-year capex guidance to $195-205bn (CNBC)

  • Tesla fell about 15% after Q2 revenue rose to $28.24bn, beating by around 6%, while adjusted EPS of $0.33 missed consensus by roughly 39% and free cash flow turned negative (TK)

  • Intel jumped about 5% after hours after Q2 revenue climbed to $16.1bn, beating the roughly $14.4bn consensus by around 12%, with adjusted EPS of $0.42 double estimates and its fastest revenue growth since 2011


Central Banks

  • The ECB left its deposit rate at 2.25% in a unanimous decision. President Lagarde signalled a possible hike at the September meeting as it gauges the Iran war's inflation impact (BBG)

  • Bank of Japan officials were reported to be open to raising rates faster than economists expect, helping the yen rebound from a four-decade low, as JGB yields hit multi-decade highs (BBG)


Economy

  • US initial jobless claims fell to 187,000 for the week ended 18 July, the lowest since 1969 and well below the roughly 210,000 expected, pointing to a still-tight labour market (BBG)


Industry ETFs

Name
Value
% Chg
Commodities
Uranium41.13
+0.39%
Steel101.83
+0.16%
Lithium & Battery Tech69.02
+0.03%
Strategic Metals69.53
-2.02%
Copper Miners78.37
-2.03%
Gold Miners75.02
-2.16%
Silver Miners75.28
-2.74%
Industrials
Aerospace & Defense238.23
+3.08%
Agriculture28.24
+0.04%
Construction102.384
-0.32%
Global Jets29.32
-2.59%
Name
Value
% Chg
Healthcare
Biotechnology188.98
+1.06%
Renewables
Hydrogen44.2237
+0.71%
Solar52.85
-1.62%
Technology
Semiconductor551.24
-0.77%
Data Center & Digital Infrastructure28.28
-0.77%
FinTech25.11
-1.65%
Robotics & AI34.31
-1.66%
Electric Vehicles34.3366
-1.78%
Cybersecurity37.25
-2.64%
Cloud Computing22.52
-2.81%

ASX Today

  • The Trump administration has imposed a 12.5% tariff on Australian imports as part of its latest round of trade measures targeting key trading partners.

  • There is speculation that Brett Blundy may be interested in pursuing KMD Brands, owner of Kathmandu and other retail assets, according to The Australian

  • Bain Capital could sell around $200 million worth of Virgin Australia shares after the airline reports earnings, when some escrow restrictions are due to expire, according to The Australian.


Broker Moves

  • Sandfire Resources downgraded to Neutral from Overweight; target lowered to $19.00 from $21.00 (JPMorgan)

  • Insurance Australia Group downgraded to Neutral from Overweight; target raised to $8.45 from $7.70 (JPMorgan)

  • PolyNovo downgraded to Hold from Buy; target lowered to $1.00 from $2.00 (Bell Potter)

  • Karoon Energy upgraded to Outperform from Sector Perform following its Q2 production results (RBC Capital Markets)


Key Events

Key events 

Stocks trading ex-dividend: 

  • Fri 24 Jul: Spheria Emerging Companies (SEC) – $0.011

  • Mon 27 Jul: None

  • Tue 28 Jul: None

  • Wed 29 Jul: None

Other ASX corporate actions today:       

  • Dividends paid: A2 Milk (A2M), Clime Investment Management (CIW)

  • Earnings: Korvest (KOV)

  • IPOs: Monvia (MNV) at 12:00 pm

  • AGMs: None

Economic calendar (AEST):

  • 9:00 am: Australia S&P Manufacturing and Services PMI

  • 4:00 pm: UK Retail Sales 

  • 5:30 pm: Germany S&P Manufacturing and Services PMI

  • 6:00 pm: Eurozone S&P Manufacturing and Services PMI

  • 11:45 pm: US S&P Manufacturing and Services PMI


ABOUT THE AUTHOR

Managing Editor

Chris is the Managing Editor at Livewire Markets and Market Index. His passion is equity research, portfolio construction, and investment education. He is also very keen on the powerful processes that can help all investors identify great opportunities and outperform the market, and wants to bring them to life and share them with you.

24/07/2026