Rare Earths

Lynas pops to all-time highs even after CEO sells 200,000 shares

Wed 08 Dec 21, 4:51pm (AEST)
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Key Points

  • Lynas revealed CEO Amanda Lacaze sold 200,000 shares on Monday
  • China has approved a mega merger of several rare earth entities

Lynas Rare Earths (ASX: LYC) is the gift that keeps on giving, rallying 5.2% on Wednesday to a fresh all-time high. The company's stock is up 29% on the month and up 123% year-to-date. 

The record move comes right after a change of director’s interest notice on Monday, revealing that long standing CEO Amanda Lacaze sold 200,000 shares.  

Lacaze’s selldown could be construed by the market as clear evidence that the share price is overheating. This issue, alongside the valuation of ‘green metal’ stocks in general, has been on the forefront of investors for quite some time. 

This prompted a knee-jerk reaction from investors as Lynas shares fell 3.2% on Tuesday. 

That said, the market has a habit of moving on from things all too quickly, with a bullish move to the upside in today’s session. 

China’s mega merger 

China has approved the plan to establish the world’s largest rare earth company, merging together several state-owned entities into what will be known as China Rare Earth Group. 

The planned merger comes as rare earth prices surge to all-time highs amid strong demand and tight supply. 

Rare earths supply is expected to remain tight amid “decreasing imports, restricted domestic exploitation and robust demand from downstream industries including energy-efficient electrical equipment,” said China’s International Capital Corporation (CICC), according to Yuan Talks

The CICC estimates the tight situation will prolong for the next 3 to 5 years.  

China’s mega merger still positions Lynas as one of the largest rare earths producers outside China. 

From a valuation perspective, brokers have been reluctant to cover Lynas. The latest report dates back to late July, where Ord Minnett slapped on a Lighten rating with a $4.30 target price. 

Are these rare earth and strategic metal stocks expensive? At face value, probably. 

Are they strategic assets and highly sought after commodities? Also yes.

Written By

Kerry Sun

Content Strategist

Kerry holds a Bachelor of Commerce from Monash University. He is an avid swing trader, focused on technical set ups and breakouts. Outside of writing and trading, Kerry is a big UFC fan, loves poker and training Muay Thai. Connect via LinkedIn or email.

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