Reporting Season

Cochlear first-half profits and dividends disappoint, shares hit lowest level since 2023

Fri 14 Feb 25, 11:13am (AEDT)
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Source: iStock

Key Points

  • Cochlear shares fell as much as 12% after a second consecutive earnings miss, with earnings impacted by cost-of-living pressures delaying customer upgrades
  • 1H25 revenue and profit missed expectations, with FY25 guidance at the lower end of its range, implying another earnings shortfall
  • Brokers have downgraded price targets last year, warning of multiple compression as Cochlear struggles to meet high-growth expectations

Cochlear (ASX: COH) is making a name for itself – but for all the wrong reasons. The company posted its second consecutive earnings miss, sending shares down as much as 12% in early trade to their lowest levels since December 2023.

The key drag on earnings was its services segment, with management citing cost-of-living pressures in the US as a major factor. “Many recipients incur out-of-pocket expenses to fund their new sound processor,” the company noted, leading to delays in replacing ageing technology.

1H25 earnings highlights

  • Revenue up 5% to $1.16 billion vs. $1.2 billion consensus (2.5% miss)

  • Underlying net profit up 7% to $205.5 million vs. $275.9 million consensus (2.2% miss)

  • Statutory net profit up 7% to $205.1 million

  • Interim dividend up 8% to $2.15 per share vs. Morgans estimates of $2.18 (1.3% miss)

  • FY25 underlying NPAT to be at the lower end of $410-430 million range vs. $426.6 million consensus (midpoint of $410-420m implies ~2.7% miss)

  • Preparing for the release of a number of new products, including its next generation cochlear impact and off-the-ear sound processor

Another crushing miss

With a PE ratio of around 50, Cochlear is priced as a high-growth stock expected to meet or exceed growth expectations. Instead, it continues to fall short, as economic pressures push consumers to delay upgrades.

Throwback to FY24 results

Cochlear reported a similar miss in August 2024, including:

  • Revenue up 15% to $2.25 billion (1.7% miss)

  • Underlying net profit up 27% to $387 million (4.2% miss)

  • Full year dividend up 24% to $4.10 per share (4.6% miss)

  • FY25 underlying net profit guidance between $410-430 million (midpoint was an 8.9% miss)

Cochlear shares opened 5.0% lower on 15 August and closed the session down 7.3%. Over the next two months, the stock continued its decline, falling another 12%.

COH 2025-02-14 11-06-21
Cochlear price chart (Source: TradingView)

The bottom line

Cochlear received several target price downgrades following its FY24 results, including cuts from JPMorgan ($305 to $300) and UBS ($270 to $260). Brokers turned more cautious on ongoing challenges, warning of potential multiple compression as growth expectations normalise.

After Friday's miss, Cochlear may come under further scrutiny following another weak result.

 

Written By

Kerry Sun

Content Strategist

Kerry holds a Bachelor of Commerce from Monash University. He is an avid swing trader, focused on technical set ups and breakouts. Outside of writing and trading, Kerry is a big UFC fan, loves poker and training Muay Thai. Connect via LinkedIn or email.

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