Market Wrap

ASX 200 pre-market wrap: Omicron and interest rates weigh on Wall Street

Mon 20 Dec 21, 9:01am (AEST)

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The ASX is poised for a fall at open following a weak session on Wall Street. The Dow Jones fell heavily as cyclical sectors like banks, energy and industrials weighed.

Before the bell

pmw overview 201221

 

KEY POINTS

ASX SPI futures is currently pointing to a 30 point fall, down -0.4% to 7,177.

Major US indexes closed lower last Friday as investors assessed the economic impact of the rapidly spreading omicron variant and the most recent decisions by central banks around the world. 

The blue-chip Dow Jones fell the most as cyclical sectors like financials and energy underperformed. While the tech-heavy Nasdaq closed at almost breakeven. 

Last week, central banks from Turkey, Brazil, Russia, Chile and the UK all opted to hike interest rates to combat rampant covid induced inflation.


US Sector overview

pmw sector 201221

 

KEY POINTS

The financial sector was the biggest drag with a -2.3% loss after bank stocks posted outsized declines. Wells Fargo lost nearly -5%, while Citi, Bank of America and JPMorgan all lost over -2%. 

Energy stocks followed the -2.2% decline in crude oil prices as omicron concerns weigh on holiday optimism.

“Covid news may continue to be a drag for oil prices for the rest of the year, but prospects of $100 oil at some point next year will lead to some buying on every critical support level,” said OANDA senior market analyst Ed Moya, adding that “WTI crude appears posed to hover around the $70 area.” 

Technology stocks held up relatively well but still registered step losses for the week. Microsoft, Alphabet, Tesla and Apple all declined between -4.1% and -6.8% last week.


Major ETFs

pmw etfs 201221

ASX Sectors in play

ETF GAINERS 

The Cannabis ETFs staged a small bounce off multi-year lows. Despite topping the ETF leaderboards, the move didn't test any major price points or moving averages.

  • Most ASX cannabis stocks remain subdued and trending sideways or lower

The Aluminium ETF is pushing 2-month highs as spot prices bounced from US$2,600/t to US$2,700/t. The aluminium market is expected to fall into deficit next year as China cuts production ahead of its Winter Olympics.  

  • South 32 (ASX: S32) has quietly rallied almost 10% in the last month. The stock is less than 5% away from breaking out to a 2-year high 

  • Alumina (ASX: AWC) is another name that could benefit from higher spot prices 

ETF LOSERS 

The Bitcoin ETF closed at yet another fresh all-time low. Crypto markets remain on edge after reports that Russia’s central bank may look to ban investing in cryptocurrencies.

The central bank is concerned that aggressive marketing by brokers and the nation’s comparatively lower levels of financial literacy could push people into high-risk products. A report is being prepared to outline its position on a possible ban, according to Reuters.

  • Betashares Crypto Innovators ETF (ASX: CRYP) fell -5.3% to a fresh all-time low last Friday. The ETF is down -30% since listing on 4 November. The weekend news could flag further headwinds for the ETF 

The Uranium ETF continues to hover just above its 200-day moving average. Uranium stocks have been pummeled in recent months following a sharp re-rate between January and September. 

  • The performance of ASX uranium stocks have largely mirrored the ETF 

  • Names like Paladin Energy (ASX: PDN), Boss Energy (ASX: BOE) and Deep Yellow (ASX: DYL) have all pulled back to longer-term moving averages after surging to multi-year highs in late September


Upcoming events

CORPORATE CALENDAR

pmw corpcal 201221

 

ECONOMIC CALENDAR

pmw ecocal 201221

 

LISTINGS

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Written By

Kerry Sun

Finance Writer & Social Media

Kerry holds a Bachelor of Commerce from Monash University and was Vice President of the University Network for Investing and Trading (UNIT). He is an avid swing trader, and drawn to breakouts and technical set ups. Outside of writing and trading, Kerry is a huge UFC fan, loves poker and bouldering.

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